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When will Alex Ovechkin break the Wayne Gretzky goals?

When will Alex Ovechkin break the Wayne Gretzky goals?

Sakege06 mins

It’s not about if Alex Ovechkin will break the goals record of all Wayne Gretzky this season. Now it’s just a matter of what game.

After obtaining a Hat Trick on Sunday against the Edmonton Oilers, Ovechkin has only 13 goals since 895, and Draftkings has it in -160 chances of reaching the milestone in the next 25 games before the end of the regular season. That is an implicit probability of more than 61%.

So when should we expect the great 8 to finally pass the great? According to my poor quality mathematics, I would approach the record just before the Washington Capitals receive the Chicago Blackhawks on April 4, provided that it maintained its best race rate of 2.4 goals for 60 minutes. However, due to how difficult it would be to maintain that absurd rate, four teams are better likely than Chicago.

What team will Ovechkin get your 895 ° goal against

  • New York +300 Islanders
  • Columbus Blue Jackets +300
  • Carolina Hurricanes +350
  • Pittsburgh Penguins +800
  • Chicago Blackhawks +900

The probabilities are available for other equipment, but Ovechkin would need to cheat more tricks to make those worth their time.

The islanders, the blue jackets and the hurricanes play Washington several times in the last weeks of the season, which is another reason why they lead the herd ahead of Chicago and Pittsburgh. It is a game of numbers.

Capital schedule

  • April 1: @ Bruins
  • April 2: @ hurricanes
  • April 4: vs. Blackhawks
  • April 6: @ isleños
  • April 10: vs. Hurricanes
  • April 12: @ Blue Jackets
  • April 13: vs. Blue jackets
  • April 15: @ isleños
  • April 17: @ penguins

The best story would be that it would happen in one of those games against Columbus, because that Ovechkin team scored his first professional goal against. If I could do it in the April 13 game in front of a local crowd, that would be even sweeter.

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